Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at 貓腳印台中店 AMB店冠賽
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-2-4
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1359
· median 1359
· range 1269–1449
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1212
Q3 1333
1568
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 57.4% | +5.5 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.9% | +7.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
