Water Crux MageTier 2
at 貓腳印台中店 AMB店冠賽
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-1-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.1%
avg ELO -8.9 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1418
· median 1418
· range 1418–1418
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1212
Q3 1333
1568
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.9 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.2 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
