← Yeti Gaming Online Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Online Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 24.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.3% | +0.9 |
| Water Allies | 12.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.1% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 42.5% | -5.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Fury | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Firetongue | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |