← Yeti Gaming Online Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Store Championship
decks
4
(12.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27
16-7-4
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.1%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
55.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1446
· median 1450
· range 1317–1567
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1274
Q3 1440
1582
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 24.2% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 47.7% | -1.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.1% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 59.3% | +5.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 46.3% | -2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.5% | +6.2 |
| Fire Neos | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
| Rogue | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
