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Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 24.2% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 57.5% | +4.3 |
| Water Allies | 12.1% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 53.7% | +2.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.1% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.6% | -4.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Caliburn of Silencing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |