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Fire NeosTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/7

decks
1 (2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6% avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
49.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426 · median 1426 · range 1426–1426 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1192 Q3 1398 1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 21.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.8% -0.2
Wind Allies 17.4% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 6.5% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.0% -1.6
Fire Tera Tamer 4.3% 0
Rogue 4.3% 0
Water Astra Cleric 4.3% 0
Fire Aggro 2.2% 0
Fire Arcane 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Fire Crux Hybrid 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Fire Diana 2.2% 0
Fire Erupting 2.2% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 0
Water Neos 2.2% 0
Water Neos Tonoris 2.2% 0
Water Tonoris 2.2% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Wind Tera Tamer 2.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/1424/archetypes/Fire Neos