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Water Luxem AssassinTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/7

decks
1 (2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9% avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
59.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404 · median 1404 · range 1404–1404 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1192 Q3 1398 1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 21.7% 0
Wind Allies 17.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.3% +1.2
Fire Umbra Ranger 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.3
Fire Astra Cleric 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.3% 0
Fire Tera Tamer 4.3% 0
Rogue 4.3% 0
Water Astra Cleric 4.3% 0
Fire Aggro 2.2% 0
Fire Arcane 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.2
Fire Diana 2.2% 0
Fire Erupting 2.2% 0
Fire Neos 2.2% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Water Neos 2.2% 0
Water Neos Tonoris 2.2% 0
Water Tonoris 2.2% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Wind Tera Tamer 2.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/1424/archetypes/Water Luxem Assassin