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RogueTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/7

decks
2 (4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.4% avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
54.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1327 · median 1327 · range 1095–1560 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1192 Q3 1398 1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 21.7% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.7% -0.2
Wind Allies 17.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.4% +1.4
Fire Umbra Ranger 6.5% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.3% 0
Fire Tera Tamer 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Water Astra Cleric 4.3% 0
Fire Aggro 2.2% 0
Fire Arcane 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.5
Fire Diana 2.2% 0
Fire Erupting 2.2% 0
Fire Neos 2.2% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 0
Water Neos 2.2% 0
Water Neos Tonoris 2.2% 0
Water Tonoris 2.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.4
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Wind Tera Tamer 2.2% 0

JSON: /api/events/1424/archetypes/Rogue