← Whimsy Game Cafe Store Champs AMB
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Whimsy Game Cafe Store Champs AMB
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
7-5-4
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.5%
avg ELO +1.8 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1449
· median 1449
· range 1267–1630
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1297
Q3 1449
1642
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.8% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +3.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.0% | -5.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -2.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +12.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.8% | +2.6 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
