← Whimsy Game Cafe Store Champs AMB
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Whimsy Game Cafe Store Champs AMB
decks
4
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
6-6-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330
· median 1360
· range 1090–1512
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1297
Q3 1449
1642
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.8% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 47.2% | -1.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -0.9 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
