← Regionals - Mortal Ambition - Wilczek
Wind Tera SilvieTier 2
at Regionals - Mortal Ambition - Wilczek
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.5%
avg ELO -8.3 per match
expected value
42.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1200
· median 1200
· range 1200–1200
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1182
Q3 1354
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Water Allies | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Tera Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
