Fire Crux MageTier 2
at GA Regionals November 30th
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -3.9 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1278
· range 1278–1278
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1186
Q3 1268
1582
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.4 |
| Wind Cats | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
