Wind AlliesTier 1
at GA Regionals November 30th
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 71.8% | +14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.4% | +10.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Wind Cats | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Heavy Swing, Staggering Strike, Cry for Help. Losers more often ran: Fire Resonance Bauble, Tempest Downfall, Mortal Ambition.
Show all 58 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 47 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mandate of Honor | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lena, Dorumegia's Herald | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Marksman Captain | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Winbless Rangefinder | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |