Wind AlliesTier 2
at AMB Regionals
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-6-1
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
47.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1195
· median 1195
· range 1051–1340
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033
Q1 1146
Q3 1391
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.5% | +5.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 14.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
