Mortal Ambitions Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	20.0%	4-4-4	50.0%	48.9%	49.3%	49.5%	1322	—
2		Slimes	Tier 2	2	13.3%	3-5-2	40.0%	47.3%	47.0%	48.4%	1156	↓ low
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	13.3%	7-1-4	75.0%	56.5%	57.8%	53.0%	1492	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	6.7%	1-2-1	37.5%	54.7%	46.4%	52.0%	1234	↓ low
5		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	6.7%	0-4-1	10.0%	30.1%	42.2%	42.9%	1156	↓ low
6		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	6.7%	1-2-2	40.0%	46.9%	47.5%	48.6%	1398	↑ top
7		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	6.7%	2-1-2	60.0%	59.4%	51.7%	54.0%	1423	↑ top
8		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	6.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	47.4%	50.0%	48.2%	1330	—
9		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	1	6.7%	4-3-0	57.1%	54.8%	51.2%	51.2%	1317	—
10		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	6.7%	2-2-1	50.0%	54.7%	51.2%	53.1%	1270	↓ low
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	6.7%	1-1-3	50.0%	45.7%	50.0%	48.3%	1352	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 20.0%
• Slimes 2 decks · 13.3%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 13.3%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 6.7%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 6.7%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 6.7%
• Water Penguin Mill 1 deck · 6.7%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 6.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 6.7%