← Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
Fire SlimesTier 2
at Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-2-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.9%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1398
· median 1398
· range 1398–1398
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1138
Q1 1220
Q3 1406
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Slimes | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.4 |
| Water Allies | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
