← Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.7%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
46.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1234
· median 1234
· range 1234–1234
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1138
Q1 1220
Q3 1406
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 20.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Slimes | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Water Allies | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
