EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA 元氣滿屋店冠賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 70.0% | 48.5% | 58.3% | 51.8% | 1353 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 7 | 71.4% | 69.2% | 55.0% | 57.0% | 1481 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Arisanna | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 56.8% | 50.0% | 53.0% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 38.8% | 50.0% | 46.4% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Penguin Mill | 2 | 25.0% | 7 | 42.9% | 45.9% | 48.7% | 48.7% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.1% | 42.5% | 47.7% | 1231 | — |
| 7 | Wind Silvie | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 35.7% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1543 | ↑ top |