EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 100.0% | 51.6% | 60.0% | 50.7% | 1656 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.9% | 57.6% | 50.6% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Diana | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.3% | 57.1% | 50.7% | 1527 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 7 | 15.2% | 21 | 61.9% | 51.0% | 55.3% | 50.5% | 1260 | — |
| 5 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 2 | 4.3% | 6 | 33.3% | 48.9% | 55.0% | 50.3% | 1251 | — |
| 6 | Water Neos | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.3% | 53.3% | 50.4% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Allies | 7 | 15.2% | 22 | 56.8% | 50.2% | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1336 | — |
| 8 | Wind Vanitas | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 50.8% | 50.2% | 1278 | — |
| 9 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 4 | 8.7% | 14 | 57.1% | 50.5% | 49.6% | 50.0% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 48.9% | 49.0% | 49.6% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Tonoris | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 48.9% | 49.9% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 4.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 49.6% | 48.8% | 50.1% | 1322 | — |
| 13 | Fire Vanitas | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 48.6% | 49.9% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Neos | 2 | 4.3% | 8 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 48.4% | 49.6% | 1317 | — |
| 15 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 2.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.2% | 46.0% | 49.7% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Neos | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.4% | 45.0% | 49.6% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 2.2% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 44.4% | 49.8% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 2 | 4.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.2% | 43.5% | 49.4% | 1275 | — |
| 19 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 16.7% | 49.1% | 42.9% | 49.6% | 1106 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 10.9% | 11 | 22.7% | 48.7% | 40.6% | 49.4% | 1273 | — |
| 21 | Water Tera Tamer | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Fire Tera Tamer | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.3% | 40.0% | 49.3% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Tera Tamer | 1 | 2.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.2% | 36.7% | 49.4% | 1000 | ↓ low |