← NPL Store Champs

SlimesTier 1

at NPL Store Champs

decks
3 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14 6-6-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3% avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
50.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356 · median 1339 · range 1265–1463 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1038 Q1 1260 Q3 1403 1509
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 16.7% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 40.7% -5.9
Wind Allies 16.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.3% +11.7
Fire Crux Lorraine 8.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.4% +10.0
Fire Crux Mage 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.5% -20.0
Water Penguin Mill 8.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.3% +1.2
Water Ravishing Mill 8.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 46.0% -3.8
Wind Razorgale 8.3% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.0% +3.8
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 2 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 2 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 2 0 0
Engineered Slime +1.00 2 0 0
Slime's Blessing +1.00 2 0 0
Limitless Slime -1.00 0 2 0
Lustrous Slime -1.00 0 2 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -1.00 0 2 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 2 0
Seeking Shot +1.00 2 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 2 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 2 0 0
Twilight Slime +1.00 2 0 0
Blissful Calling -0.50 0 1 1
Slime Eruption +0.50 1 0 1
Reprogram -0.50 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -0.50 0 1 0
Mystic Purifier -0.50 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/16379/archetypes/Slimes