Phantom Cards and Collectibles

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	2	50.0%	1-1-2	50.0%	49.4%	50.0%	49.6%	1463	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	25.0%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.2%	52.2%	52.4%	1569	↑ top
3		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	25.0%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.5%	47.8%	48.2%	1335	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Penguin Mill 2 decks · 50.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 25.0%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 25.0%