← Grand Archive TCG - Constructed - Reginals Qualifier Event
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - Constructed - Reginals Qualifier Event .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 3 | 13.0% | 13 | 65.4% | 70.6% | 56.0% | 58.0% | 1314 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 75.0% | 54.6% | 54.4% | 51.0% | 1563 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 75.0% | 64.1% | 54.2% | 54.3% | 1402 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Crux Merlin | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 66.7% | 39.4% | 53.9% | 45.6% | 1552 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 8.7% | 10 | 65.0% | 50.7% | 53.3% | 49.3% | 1341 | — |
| 6 | Water Penguin Mill | 2 | 8.7% | 10 | 65.0% | 55.5% | 52.7% | 51.0% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 62.6% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 1132 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 13.0% | 15 | 56.7% | 48.3% | 49.6% | 48.2% | 1358 | — |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.1% | 48.0% | 51.9% | 1335 | — |
| 10 | Slimes | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 33.3% | 38.6% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 1295 | — |
| 11 | Wind Exia | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 30.0% | 40.7% | 46.0% | 46.7% | 1225 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 8.7% | 9 | 38.9% | 50.4% | 45.8% | 49.8% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.5% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1213 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 30.0% | 45.9% | 43.3% | 46.8% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Neos | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.7% | 43.3% | 44.7% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.8% | 42.2% | 44.1% | 1230 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 33.5% | 40.0% | 43.5% | 1124 | ↓ low |