← Yeti Webcam Weekly 1/16/2025
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 1/16/2025
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
42.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1144
· median 1144
· range 1144–1144
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1199
Q3 1440
1617
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
