← CardArt Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at CardArt Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
decks
3
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-7-0
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.0%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1248
· median 1275
· range 1189–1280
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1203
Q3 1391
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 55.9% | +3.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.4 |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
