← CardArt Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
Water Umbra DianaTier 2
at CardArt Mortal Ambitions Store Championship
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.3%
avg ELO -5.0 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1192
· median 1192
· range 1192–1192
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1203
Q3 1391
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
