EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/6/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd

Water Allies

57.7%

4.1% share · 8 matches

1st

Fire Aggro

62.2%

2.0% share · 4 matches

6.1% share · 10 matches

#	Archetype	Decks	Share	Matches	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1	Fire Aggro	1	2.0%	4	100.0%	52.4%	62.2%	51.2%	1444	↑ top
2	Water Allies	2	4.1%	8	81.2%	51.8%	57.7%	50.6%	1320	—
3	Wind Allies	3	6.1%	10	65.0%	51.0%	55.1%	50.4%	1258	—
4	Wind Razorgale	2	4.1%	8	68.8%	51.1%	54.8%	50.5%	1370	—
5	Water Ravishing Mill	4	8.2%	12	70.8%	50.9%	54.8%	50.2%	1416	↑ top
6	Fire Slimes	1	2.0%	4	75.0%	51.1%	54.3%	50.4%	1617	↑ top
7	Wind Diana	1	2.0%	4	75.0%	51.7%	53.8%	50.5%	1197	↓ low
8	Fire Crux Lorraine	2	4.1%	8	50.0%	49.9%	53.3%	50.3%	1384	↑ top
9	Slimes	4	8.2%	14	46.4%	49.8%	52.0%	50.2%	1233	↓ low
10	Fire Crux Mage	3	6.1%	11	54.5%	50.1%	51.2%	50.0%	1294	—
11	Water Crux Mage	4	8.2%	14	50.0%	49.8%	50.7%	50.1%	1466	↑ top
12	Fire Umbra Ranger	1	2.0%	4	50.0%	49.4%	49.3%	49.7%	1291	—
13	Wind Astra Cleric	2	4.1%	7	42.9%	48.6%	48.8%	49.6%	1425	↑ top
14	Wind Shadowstrike	5	10.2%	13	30.8%	48.9%	47.0%	49.8%	1235	↓ low
15	Water Penguin Mill	4	8.2%	15	43.3%	49.2%	46.5%	49.8%	1230	↓ low
16	Fire Neos	1	2.0%	4	37.5%	50.0%	45.8%	50.0%	1158	↓ low
17	Water Tera Mage	1	2.0%	3	33.3%	50.4%	45.0%	50.3%	1144	↓ low
18	Water Arcane	1	2.0%	4	12.5%	50.2%	42.9%	50.1%	1222	↓ low
19	Fire Exia	4	8.2%	12	29.2%	48.1%	41.7%	49.2%	1352	—
20	Water Silvie	2	4.1%	5	10.0%	48.5%	40.0%	49.3%	1200	↓ low
21	Fire Arcane	1	2.0%	2	0.0%	49.6%	40.0%	49.8%	1179	↓ low