← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/21/2024
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/21/2024
decks
2
(5.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1415
· median 1415
· range 1303–1527
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1210
Q3 1404
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 24.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 8.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 48.7% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 8.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
