Fire ArcaneTier 1
at 4/6 卡殿Card Palace 大圖書館聯賽
decks
3
(21.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
9-5-0
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
56.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1126
· median 1095
· range 1064–1220
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1149
Q3 1272
1429
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 21.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.3% | +3.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.6% | +3.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 7.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
