← 4/6 卡殿Card Palace 大圖書館聯賽

Wind AlliesTier 2

at 4/6 卡殿Card Palace 大圖書館聯賽

decks
3 (21.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5% avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
42.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1213 · median 1220 · range 1135–1284 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064 Q1 1149 Q3 1272 1429
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Arcane 21.4% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 46.7% -3.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.2% +3.5
Fire Crux Mage 7.1% 0
Fire Erupting 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.0% -3.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.1% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 48.6% -1.0
Fire Tera Silvie 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.4% -2.5
Fire Umbra Ranger 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.2% -2.9
Water Allies 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.1% +3.4
Wind Tera Silvie 7.1% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector +1.00 2 0 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 2 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 2 0
Worn Gearblade -1.00 0 2 0
Woodland Squirrels +1.00 2 0 0
Honorable Vanguard -1.00 0 2 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 2 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 2 0
Trained Hawk -1.00 0 2 0
Poisoned Coating Oil -1.00 0 2 0
Bulwark Sword -1.00 0 2 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 2 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 2 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 2 0 0
Warrior's Longsword -1.00 0 2 0
Allied Warpriestess +0.50 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge -0.50 0 1 1
Dominating Strike -0.50 0 1 1
Vanitas, Obliviate Schemer -0.50 0 1 1
Necklace of Foresight +0.50 1 0 0
Life Essence Amulet -0.50 0 1 1
Vanitas, Convergent Ruin -0.50 0 1 1
Song of Nurturing +0.50 1 0 0
Imperial Recruit +0.50 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -0.50 0 1 1
Spirit of Serene Wind +0.50 1 0 0
Bauble of Abundance +0.50 1 0 0
Enchaining Gale -0.50 0 1 1
Smoke Bombs +0.50 1 0 0
Ornamental Greatsword +0.50 1 0 0
Lorraine, Blademaster +0.50 1 0 0
Winbless Gatekeeper +0.50 1 0 0
Phalanx Captain +0.50 1 0 0
Orb of Regret +0.50 1 0 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior +0.50 1 0 0
Attune with the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Windrider Vanguard +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/1907/archetypes/Wind Allies