Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 4/6 卡殿Card Palace 大圖書館聯賽
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.9%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1176
· median 1176
· range 1176–1176
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1149
Q3 1272
1429
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 21.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Wind Allies | 21.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.