← Yeti Revelfest Weekly Event 3/6/2025

Wind AlliesTier 1

at Yeti Revelfest Weekly Event 3/6/2025

decks
2 (5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1368 · median 1368 · range 1272–1463 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047 Q1 1216 Q3 1442 1624
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 13.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.1
Fire Crux Mage 10.5% 0
Water Allies 10.5% 0
Water Crux Mage 10.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.1
Wind Astra Cleric 10.5% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 5.3% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 5.3% 0
Fire Aggro 2.6% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.9% -1.8
Fire Exia 2.6% 0
Fire Jin 2.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Fire Tera Mage 2.6% 0
Slimes 2.6% 0
Water Silvie 2.6% 0
Water Umbra Diana 2.6% 0
Wind Exia 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +0.9
Wind Overlord 2.6% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.6% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 56 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 56 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Banner Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Lurking Assailant +1.00 1 0 0
Jin, Zealous Maverick -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Charged Mannequin +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Savage Swing -1.00 0 1 0
Crimson Prescience -1.00 0 1 0
Fraternal Garrison -1.00 0 1 0
Sword of Seeking +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance +1.00 1 0 0
Jin, Fate Defiant -1.00 0 1 0
Enrage -1.00 0 1 0
Executioner's Spear -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Song of Nurturing +1.00 1 0 0
Manufacture Cell +1.00 1 0 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald +1.00 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Inspiring Call -1.00 0 1 0
Beseeching Flourish -1.00 0 1 0
Shuang Ji of Sacrifice -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Ornamental Greatsword +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Cell Vanguard +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Shu Frontliner -1.00 0 1 0
Chalice of Blood -1.00 0 1 0
Berserker Plate -1.00 0 1 0
Formidable Youxia -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Phalanx Captain -1.00 0 1 0
Automated Gardener +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0
Relentless Outburst -1.00 0 1 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Eminent Commander -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Crimson Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Mend Flesh -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Prototype Pistol +1.00 1 0 0
Windpiercer +1.00 1 0 0
Jin, Undying Resolve -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/20743/archetypes/Wind Allies