← Yeti Revelfest Weekly Event 3/6/2025
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Yeti Revelfest Weekly Event 3/6/2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Water Allies | 10.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 10.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Jin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 2.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Accepted Contract | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow's Claw | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |