Fire AggroTier 2
at Storechamp
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-7-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.1%
avg ELO -7.7 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1364
· median 1364
· range 1338–1390
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1297
Q3 1398
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 25.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -3.1 |
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Byakko | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
