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Fire AggroTier 2

at TripleTactics TCG Store Championship

decks
1 (3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.9% avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
55.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1182 · median 1182 · range 1182–1182 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1103 Q1 1215 Q3 1380 1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 43.8% 3 1-0-2 66.7% 57.1% 59.0% +6.7
Wind Seiryuu 15.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.3% -1.6
Water Genbu 12.5% 0
Fire Arcane 3.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.1% 0
Water Diao Chan 3.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.1% 0
Wind Allies 3.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.1% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 3.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22118/archetypes/Fire Aggro