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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at TripleTactics TCG Store Championship

decks
5 (15.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16 2-10-4
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.4% avg ELO -3.4 per match
expected value
35.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1242 · median 1252 · range 1142–1329 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1103 Q1 1215 Q3 1380 1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 40% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 43.8% 9 1-6-2 22.2% 30.8% 41.6% -3.9
Water Genbu 12.5% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 45.6% -4.2
Fire Aggro 3.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.7% +1.6
Fire Arcane 3.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.1% 0
Water Diao Chan 3.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.1% 0
Wind Allies 3.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.1% +1.7
Wind Astra Cleric 3.1% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.5% -8.8
Wind Shadowstrike 3.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.3% -7.4
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -1.00 0 2 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 2 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 2 0 0
Sylph's Envelopment +0.50 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble -0.50 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +0.50 1 0 1
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.50 0 1 1
Veiling Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Forest Cake -0.50 0 1 1
Stifling Trap +0.50 1 0 1
Expel the Departed -0.50 0 1 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +0.50 1 0 0
Winds of Destiny -0.50 0 1 1
Trained Hawk -0.50 0 1 1
Bestial Frenzy +0.50 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -0.50 0 1 1
Brisk Windtrotter +0.50 1 0 1
Nullifying Mirror +0.50 1 0 1
Scatter Essence -0.50 0 1 1
Innervate Agility -0.50 0 1 1
Unbroken Mustang +0.50 1 0 0
Winbless Kiteshield +0.50 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +0.50 1 0 0
Beastbond Boots +0.50 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs +0.50 1 0 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar -0.50 0 1 0
Arcane Blast +0.50 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +0.50 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/22118/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu