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Fire AggroTier 2

at RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs

decks
1 (5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.3% avg ELO -10.8 per match
expected value
40.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1110 · median 1110 · range 1110–1110 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1110 Q1 1195 Q3 1462 1569
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 15.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.7% -14.8
Water Crux Lorraine 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.4
Water Genbu 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.0% -4.7
Wind Astra Cleric 10.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.5% -12.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.9
Water Crux Mage 5.0% 0
Wind Crux Mage 5.0% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 5.0% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 5.0% 0
Wind Neos 5.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 5.0% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22151/archetypes/Fire Aggro