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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs

decks
3 (15.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.6% avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
50.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1348 · median 1325 · range 1150–1569 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1110 Q1 1195 Q3 1462 1569
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Crux Lorraine 10.0% 0
Water Genbu 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.5% -16.7
Wind Astra Cleric 10.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -1.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 10.0% 0
Fire Aggro 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.8
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.2% +17.9
Water Crux Mage 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.9% -9.8
Wind Crux Mage 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.5% +16.8
Wind Luxem Assassin 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.3
Wind Luxem Zander 5.0% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 44.1% -5.7
Wind Neos 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.6% -13.5
Wind Seiryuu 5.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 56.9% +6.6
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Slimeshield +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Shadowstrike +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver +1.00 1 0 0
Mastermind Scheme +1.00 1 0 0
Brackish Lutist -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Blackmarket Broker +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/22151/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike