← RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs
Water Crux MageTier 1
at RWT Collective - HVN Store Champs
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
57.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1561
· median 1561
· range 1561–1561
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1110
Q1 1195
Q3 1462
1569
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Wind Neos | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
