← HVN Gathering Hub Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HVN Gathering Hub Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 75.0% | 56.3% | 59.3% | 56.1% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 75.0% | 56.3% | 59.3% | 56.1% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.1% | 57.3% | 54.7% | 1279 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 62.5% | 53.7% | 56.4% | 53.9% | 1252 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 75.0% | 64.3% | 56.3% | 56.1% | 1324 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 11.8% | 10 | 65.0% | 58.6% | 54.4% | 53.2% | 1186 | — |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 50.0% | 55.2% | 51.3% | 52.8% | 1241 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.3% | 45.0% | 47.9% | 1014 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 33.3% | 41.5% | 42.5% | 41.9% | 1070 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 5 | 29.4% | 13 | 19.2% | 33.7% | 40.7% | 43.3% | 1165 | — |
| 11 | Fire Neos | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 0.0% | 27.7% | 40.0% | 39.6% | 1014 | ↓ low |