← SGCCC Abyssal Heaven season Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at SGCCC Abyssal Heaven season Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 2 11.1% 11 63.6% 59.8% 55.5% 56.2% 1422 ↑ top
2 Wind Astra Cleric 2 11.1% 9 55.6% 51.7% 53.3% 51.0% 1320
3 Fire Suzaku 1 5.6% 6 58.3% 62.1% 52.8% 56.0% 1268 ↓ low
4 Water Fractal 5 27.8% 22 50.0% 46.6% 51.6% 50.1% 1300
5 Water Genbu 4 22.2% 18 61.1% 49.6% 50.3% 47.1% 1434 ↑ top
6 Water Ravishing Mill 1 5.6% 5 50.0% 47.9% 48.5% 49.5% 1405 ↑ top
7 Fire Aggro 2 11.1% 8 37.5% 52.6% 45.4% 52.0% 1211 ↓ low
8 Wind Allies 1 5.6% 5 20.0% 40.6% 41.5% 45.2% 1207 ↓ low
9 Fire Polkhawk 1 5.6% 4 0.0% 35.2% 37.0% 42.6% 1177 ↓ low