← Luna Cards Store Championships
Fire AggroTier 1
at Luna Cards Store Championships
decks
3
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-6-1
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1265
· median 1116
· range 1114–1563
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1081
Q1 1250
Q3 1404
1563
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.2% | +12.1 |
| Fire Exia | 9.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.4% | -5.4 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Diana | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
