← Luna Cards Store Championships
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Luna Cards Store Championships
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1278
· range 1278–1278
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1081
Q1 1250
Q3 1404
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | +24.0 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Wind Allies | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
