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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Luna Cards Store Championships
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 33.8% | -12.1 |
| Fire Exia | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Wind Allies | 9.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 52.2% | +1.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.5% | +8.2 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |