← ABYSSAL HEAVEN STORE CHAMPIONSHIPS
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at ABYSSAL HEAVEN STORE CHAMPIONSHIPS.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Exia | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 49.6% | 55.4% | 50.8% | 1467 | — |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 3 | 15.0% | 12 | 62.5% | 59.5% | 55.1% | 55.2% | 1462 | — |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 55.0% | 54.3% | 53.5% | 53.1% | 1399 | — |
| 4 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.5% | 52.5% | 51.9% | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 64.2% | 51.2% | 54.3% | 1400 | — |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 15.0% | 13 | 53.8% | 52.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1404 | — |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 60.2% | 50.0% | 54.7% | 1365 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 10.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.9% | 50.0% | 48.8% | 1448 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 45.1% | 1382 | — |
| 10 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 27.2% | 45.0% | 41.2% | 1642 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 10.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 40.3% | 42.0% | 44.6% | 1351 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 5.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.2% | 37.3% | 42.2% | 1563 | ↑ top |