Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Whimsy Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.6% | -10.0 |
| Water Overlord | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Wind Neos | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Wind Polkhawk | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 10 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 10 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Planted Explosive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Hubris | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |