← HVN Store Championship (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia Kampar
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HVN Store Championship (Road to Regionals) @ Favonia Kampar.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 78.6% | 61.7% | 60.4% | 56.8% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 50.2% | 57.8% | 52.0% | 1610 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 10.0% | 12 | 70.8% | 60.3% | 55.2% | 52.9% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 15.0% | 20 | 57.5% | 57.6% | 53.1% | 53.3% | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 67.4% | 52.9% | 54.9% | 1238 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.4% | 52.7% | 49.8% | 1344 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.0% | 10 | 60.0% | 52.1% | 51.4% | 49.7% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Fractal | 4 | 20.0% | 16 | 40.6% | 50.4% | 46.8% | 49.9% | 1257 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 42.9% | 54.9% | 44.7% | 48.0% | 1101 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.4% | 44.2% | 45.0% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Luxem Tamer | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.4% | 44.2% | 45.0% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Triskit | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.4% | 44.2% | 45.0% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 32.0% | 43.3% | 39.9% | 1346 | — |
| 14 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.8% | 43.3% | 45.9% | 1342 | — |
| 15 | Fire Polkhawk | 1 | 5.0% | 7 | 0.0% | 21.6% | 40.0% | 40.9% | 1065 | ↓ low |