← 4/6 StoreChampionship TGCShuffle

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 4/6 StoreChampionship TGCShuffle. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Luxem Zander 1 7.7% 6 91.7% 71.9% 59.7% 58.8% 1417 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 2 15.4% 7 64.3% 51.6% 54.0% 51.6% 1549 ↑ top
3 Wind Shadowstrike 2 15.4% 9 55.6% 55.1% 52.0% 52.3% 1386
4 Wind Allies 3 23.1% 12 50.0% 47.4% 49.1% 48.4% 1273 ↓ low
5 Wind Slice & Dice 1 7.7% 4 50.0% 47.2% 48.9% 48.0% 1597 ↑ top
6 Fire Byakko 1 7.7% 4 37.5% 46.1% 46.2% 47.1% 1157 ↓ low
7 Fire Crux Mage 1 7.7% 4 37.5% 46.1% 46.2% 47.1% 1157 ↓ low
8 Fire Exia 2 15.4% 8 37.5% 49.0% 44.8% 48.8% 1197 ↓ low
9 Fire Kongming 1 7.7% 4 0.0% 29.3% 40.0% 42.1% 1241 ↓ low