Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at 松江貓 HVN店冠賽
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-6-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1171
· median 1171
· range 1075–1267
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
974
Q1 1197
Q3 1441
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 15.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.6% | -4.2 |
| Water Fractal | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
