Wind AlliesTier 1
at 松江貓 HVN店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 65.5% | +9.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.7% | -11.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +3.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evasive Maneuvers | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shangxiang, Fierce Princess | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vanishing Shot | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Prototype Pistol | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windpiercer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |