Fire ExiaTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven UK Regional!
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.1%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1198
· median 1198
· range 1198–1198
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1147
Q3 1283
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diao Chan | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
